Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds & Favorite: Problem Child to Face Iron Mike in July

Referee Luis Pabon stops the fight after Jake Paul defeats Ryan Bourland as we look at the Paul vs. Tyson odds

Referee Luis Pabon stops the fight after Jake Paul defeats Ryan Bourland in the first round during their cruiserweight fight at Coliseo de Puerto Rico on March 2, 2024 in Hato Rey, Puerto Rico. Photo by Ricardo Arduengo/Getty Images via AFP.

The sporting event of the summer will see Jake “Problem Child” Paul take on “Iron” Mike Tyson in a boxing match at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, on Saturday, July 20 as we break down the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson odds from our best boxing betting sites.

Even if you’re not a boxing fan, the sporting event of the summer will take place on Saturday, July 20, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. That’s when “Iron” Mike Tyson battles with Jake “Problem Child” Paul. The former YouTuber opened as the heavy favorite in the early Paul vs. Tyson odds, but there has been drastic movement toward the more senior (and more accomplished) of the two fighters.

At 27, Paul remains strategic in his opponent choices as he builds his resume. His latest selection is the 57-year-old boxing icon. Despite questions about the match’s authenticity, Netflix is poised to attract unprecedented viewership.

Here are the early Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson odds ahead of their bout on Saturday, July 20.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson odds: Saturday, July 20

Market states fight must be scheduled for a minimum of eight rounds for bets to have action.

Fighter
Opening odds
Latest odds (March 25)
Implied win probability

Jake Paul
-500
-165
62.26%

Mike Tyson
+325
+125

44.44%

Paul opened as a heavy betting favorite against the man 30 years his senior, but the odds have moved starkly in Tyson’s favor. Paul opened at -500 but went up to -165 with the market changed from a 10-round minimum to eight rounds, and a couple weeks of public betting action influencing the lines.

Those new odds imply a 62.26% chance of Paul being the victor, and it would take a $165 bet to return a profit of $100 on a winning “Problem Child” wager.

The same $100 bet on Tyson would return a profit of $125 with an upset win by the icon. That comes with a 44.44% implied probability after “Iron Mike” opened with just a 23.53% chance.

The odds will continue to move regularly over the coming months, with public betting action on either fighter, as well as pre-fight reports influencing the direction of those odds.